This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Kyrian Jacquet in the Estoril Open, originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 8:30AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Kyrian Jacquet.
This market will resolve to 'Kyrian Jacquet' if Kyrian Jacquet advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquet
ATP
Kyrian Jacquet167
Daniel Merida Aguilar615Final
Game context
**Daniel Merida Aguilar enters the Estoril Open clay-court matchup as the clear favorite due to his sharp recent form and ranking edge.** The 21-year-old Spaniard captured the Umag title on clay the prior week with straight-sets wins over seeded players and reached a career-high ranking near No. 59. Kyrian Jacquet, ranked around No. 130 after a career-high of No. 102 earlier in 2026, holds a 1-3 record this season and exited qualifying before advancing via the draw. On the slower red clay at Estoril, Merida’s improved movement, heavier baseline game, and momentum from consecutive victories create a substantial edge, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Spaniard heavily in this early-round contest. Jacquet’s path would require capitalizing on any short turnaround effects or unforced errors from the in-form opponent.
Moneyline
$550K Vol.Match Completed
Set Winner
$866 Vol.1st Set Winner
$339 Vol.Set Total
$1.6K Vol.Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquet Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquet Set 2 O/U 8.5
Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquet Set 2 O/U 9.5
Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquet Set 2 O/U 10.5
1st Set Total
Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquet Set 1 O/U 8.5
Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquet Set 1 O/U 9.5
Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquet Set 1 O/U 10.5
Total Games
$163 Vol.Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquet Match O/U 21.5
Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquet Match O/U 22.5
Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquet Match O/U 23.5
Set Handicap
$1.7K Vol. Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquet?
Completed Match dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquet Set 1 Winner, trades at just 99%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquet?
With 99% implied for Completed Match, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquet market resolve?
The market runs until 28 Jul 2026 (7 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquet?
Traders have put $10.3M through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Estoril Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Kyrian Jacquet on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
Similar Markets
Livesport Prague Open: Laura Samson vs Maya Joint Set 2 Winner99%
Livesport Prague Open: Laura Samson vs Maya Joint Total Sets: O/U 2.599%
