This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Marin Cilic in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Marin Cilic.
This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic
ATP
Marin Cilic611
Daniel Merida Aguilar366Final
Game context
Daniel Merida Aguilar, the 21-year-old Spaniard ranked near his career high around No. 40-63, brings strong recent hard-court results and momentum into this first-round Cincinnati Open clash against 37-year-old veteran Marin Cilic. Cilic, currently ranked near No. 80-85 and returning from mixed 2026 form after earlier knee issues, relies on his 6'6" serve and extensive experience on outdoor hard courts. Aguilar has posted multiple wins this summer and holds the edge in current ranking and physical freshness, while Cilic’s path includes recent victories over established players but also losses to younger competition. Their prior head-to-head adds limited context for this Masters 1000 encounter on the Tony Trabert Stadium court.
Moneyline
$384.8K Vol.Match Completed
Total Games
$550 Vol.Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic Match O/U 21.5
Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic Match O/U 22.5
Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic Match O/U 23.5
Set Total
$241 Vol.Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic Set 2 O/U 8.5
Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic Set 2 O/U 9.5
Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic Set 2 O/U 10.5
1st Set Winner
$781 Vol.Set Winner
1st Set Total
$66 Vol.Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic Set 1 O/U 8.5
Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic Set 1 O/U 9.5
Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic Set 1 O/U 10.5
Set Handicap
$44.8K Vol. Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic?
Completed Match dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic Match O/U 21.5, trades at just 99%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic?
With 99% implied for Completed Match, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 20 Aug 2026 (6 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic?
Traders have put $12.6M through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
Similar Markets
Jannik Sinner52%YesNo
Alexander Zverev13%YesNo
