지정학 마켓

96개 활성 마켓
정렬
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
June 302%
July 311%
$70.8만 거래량 오늘 마감
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
August 3150%예아니오
August 1437%예아니오
$885.2만 거래량 31/08
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
December 31, 202661%예아니오
December 3150%예아니오
$277.1만 거래량 31/12
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
July 2899%예아니오
July 2999%예아니오
$1,222.4만 거래량 31/08
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 3113%예아니오
September 307%예아니오
$6,885.9만 거래량 오늘 마감
Iran leadership change by...?Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 202731%예아니오
December 3122%예아니오
$2,170.2만 거래량 31/12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
24%
확률
예 아니오
$28만 거래량 31/12
Israel closes its airspace by...?Israel closes its airspace by...?
August 3125%예아니오
August 1513%예아니오
$2,561.3만 거래량 오늘 마감
NATO x Russia military clash by...?NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 3128%예아니오
October 3118%예아니오
$358.5만 거래량 31/12
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 3129%예아니오
September 309%예아니오
$1,206.5만 거래량 31/08
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 3119%예아니오
September 3012%예아니오
$892.6만 거래량 오늘 마감
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
August 317%
August 151%
$53만 거래량 31/08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 3187%예아니오
October 3180%예아니오
$207.8만 거래량 31/08
Putin out as President of Russia by...?Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 202715%예아니오
December 31, 20269%예아니오
$9.9만 거래량 30/06
9월 30일까지 호르무즈 해협 통항이 정상화될까? 9월 30일까지 호르무즈 해협 통항이 정상화될까?
17%
확률
예 아니오
$53만 거래량 30/09
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
August 3135%예아니오
August 1518%예아니오
$8.6만 거래량 오늘 마감
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
December 3155%예아니오
July 316%예아니오
$286.1만 거래량 31/12
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31, 202694%예아니오
September 30, 202687%예아니오
$862.7만 거래량 오늘 마감
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
30+1%예아니오
80+1%예아니오
$5.9만 거래량 오늘 마감
이란 정권이 2027 전에 붕괴할까? 이란 정권이 2027 전에 붕괴할까?
9%
확률
예 아니오
$8.3만 거래량 31/12
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
December 3111%예아니오
September 305%예아니오
$824.6만 거래량 오늘 마감
Netanyahu가 ...까지 물러날까?Netanyahu가 ...까지 물러날까?
December 3141%예아니오
July 311%예아니오
$5.1만 거래량 31/12
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 157%예아니오
July 311%예아니오
$862만 거래량 오늘 마감
Iran invades Kuwait by...?Iran invades Kuwait by...?
July 311%
August 313%
$68.2만 거래량 31/08
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027No meeting before 202793%예아니오
스위스스위스3%예아니오
$4.7만 거래량 31/12
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot52%예아니오
Benjamin Netanyahu35%예아니오
$3,046.6만 거래량 31/12
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro82%예아니오
Delcy Rodríguez10%예아니오
$9,481.6만 거래량 31/12
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
1%
확률
예 아니오
$10.7만 거래량 30/09
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
December 3123%예아니오
August 3111%예아니오
$171.7만 거래량 오늘 마감
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4%
확률
예 아니오
$10.7만 거래량 31/12
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
December 3153%예아니오
September 3025%예아니오
$3.8만 거래량 31/12
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Yulia NavalnayaYulia Navalnaya10%예아니오
Volodymyr ZelenskyyVolodymyr Zelenskyy7%예아니오
$2,304.3만 거래량 10/10
이란 정권이 9월 30일까지 붕괴할까? 이란 정권이 9월 30일까지 붕괴할까?
3%
확률
예 아니오
$8.3만 거래량 30/09
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
14%
확률
예 아니오
$10.7만 거래량 31/12
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?
September 30September 3099%예아니오
February 28February 281%예아니오
$112.1만 거래량 30/09
12월 31일까지 호르무즈 해협 통항이 정상화될까? 12월 31일까지 호르무즈 해협 통항이 정상화될까?
51%
확률
예 아니오
$53만 거래량 31/12
Will Iran target Ukraine by...?Will Iran target Ukraine by...?
August 314%
September 307%
$26.9만 거래량 30/09
Iran military action against a gulf state on...?Iran military action against a gulf state on...?
July 999%예아니오
July 1299%예아니오
$267.7만 거래량 오늘 마감
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31December 3157%예아니오
September 30September 3019%예아니오
$106.6만 거래량 31/12
Trump out as President before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027?
7%
확률
예 아니오
$3.9만 거래량 31/12
Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?
December 31, 202611%
June 30, 202732%
$2.7만 거래량 30/06
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
August 3162%예아니오
August 1530%예아니오
$1.7만 거래량 31/08
WTI 원유 ___까지 사상 최고가?WTI 원유 ___까지 사상 최고가?
December 3115%예아니오
September 305%예아니오
$219.3만 거래량 31/12
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
Dopropillia75%예아니오
Druzkhivka44%예아니오
$1.5만 거래량 31/12
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
92%
확률
예 아니오
$58.6만 거래량 31/12
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31?Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31?
호주2%예아니오
미국1%예아니오
$1.4만 거래량 오늘 마감
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
No Meeting by September 3040%예아니오
스위스25%예아니오
$1.3만 거래량 30/09
Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31? Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?
98%
확률
예 아니오
$2.6만 거래량 오늘 마감
European military action against Iran by...?European military action against Iran by...?
July 311%
August 314%
$23.5만 거래량 31/08
Iran leader end of 2026?Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei79%예아니오
No Head of State7%예아니오
$3,736.9만 거래량 31/12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 319%예아니오
September 305%예아니오
$2,898.3만 거래량 31/12
How long will Trump and Netanyahu shake hands for?How long will Trump and Netanyahu shake hands for?
No Handshake99%예아니오
2–6s3%예아니오
$1.1만 거래량 오늘 마감
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
48%
확률
예 아니오
$85.1만 거래량 20/08
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
14%
확률
예 아니오
$1.1만 거래량 31/12
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
December 3124%예아니오
August 316%예아니오
$96.3만 거래량
US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?US announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 3115%예아니오
July 311%예아니오
$131.6만 거래량 오늘 마감
US military action against Cuba by...?US military action against Cuba by...?
December 31December 3128%예아니오
January 31January 311%예아니오
$709.7만 거래량 31/12
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
December 3128%예아니오
October 3116%예아니오
$24.4만 거래량 31/12
China x Japan military clash before 2027? China x Japan military clash before 2027?
9%
확률
예 아니오
$117만 거래량 31/12
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)
None before 202743%예아니오
Netanyahu - Israel PM26%예아니오
$8,295 거래량 31/12
Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
July 312%
August 315%
$8.4만 거래량 31/08
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?
December 3164%예아니오
October 3154%예아니오
$141.5만 거래량 31/08
NATO dissolves before 2027? NATO dissolves before 2027?
3%
확률
예 아니오
$12.2만 거래량 31/12
US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?
3%
확률
예 아니오
$8.2만 거래량 30/09
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31No meeting by December 3173%예아니오
ChinaChina15%예아니오
$7,256 거래량 31/12
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 3124%예아니오
September 309%예아니오
$611.9만 거래량 오늘 마감
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
Jared KushnerJared Kushner85%예아니오
Andy BurnhamAndy Burnham83%예아니오
$3.1만 거래량 31/12
7월 27일 주에 호르무즈 해협를 통과하는 선박은 몇 척?7월 27일 주에 호르무즈 해협를 통과하는 선박은 몇 척?
50-7455%예아니오
75-9923%예아니오
$1.6만 거래량 3일 남음
Will Russia capture Vodianske by...?Will Russia capture Vodianske by...?
September 3023%
December 3160%
$6.5만 거래량 31/12
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
June 301%예아니오
April 301%예아니오
$1,217.5만 거래량 오늘 마감
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?
August 3113%예아니오
July 311%예아니오
$48.9만 거래량 오늘 마감
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
December 316%예아니오
June 301%예아니오
$2,170.5만 거래량 오늘 마감
US charges Hormuz fees by...?US charges Hormuz fees by...?
December 319%예아니오
August 312%예아니오
$88.2만 거래량 31/12
Nothing Ever Happens: JulyNothing Ever Happens: July
Nothing99%
Something1%
$6,105 거래량 오늘 마감
Iran successfully targets shipping on...?Iran successfully targets shipping on...?
August 743%예아니오
August 642%예아니오
$6,953 거래량 31/08
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
July 311%
August 3128%
$10.6만 거래량 31/08
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
8%
확률
예 아니오
$5,227 거래량 31/12
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?
8846%예아니오
9933%예아니오
$159.8만 거래량 31/12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 3136%예아니오
October 3116%예아니오
$576.3만 거래량 31/12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 3113%예아니오
October 316%예아니오
$1,760.9만 거래량 31/12
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
December 3110%
June 301%
$349.6만 거래량 31/12
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
December 3161%예아니오
September 3038%예아니오
$23.3만 거래량 31/12
Next Secretary-General of the United NationsNext Secretary-General of the United Nations
Rebeca GrynspanRebeca Grynspan42%예아니오
Rafael GrossiRafael Grossi41%예아니오
$15.9만 거래량 31/12
Iran coup attempt by...?Iran coup attempt by...?
December 3114%
June 301%
$211.2만 거래량 31/12
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Xi Jinping out before 2027?
5%
확률
예 아니오
$4,241 거래량 31/12
NATO article 5 before 2027? NATO article 5 before 2027?
6%
확률
예 아니오
$4,151 거래량 31/12
Will any country leave NATO by...?Will any country leave NATO by...?
December 31, 202550%예아니오
December 31, 20263%예아니오
$139.8만 거래량 31/12
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
December 3120%예아니오
September 3012%예아니오
$63만 거래량 오늘 마감
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
6%
확률
예 아니오
$1,053.3만 거래량 31/12
Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by...?Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by...?
August 3121%
October 3138%
$1.3만 거래량 31/10
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
December 3111%예아니오
September 304%예아니오
$52.5만 거래량 31/12
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026No Return to Normal Traffic in 202650%예아니오
December13%예아니오
$16.3만 거래량 31/12
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?
September 308%
December 3137%
$8.1만 거래량 31/12
이란이 12월 31일까지 우라늄 농축 중단에 합의할까? 이란이 12월 31일까지 우라늄 농축 중단에 합의할까?
25%
확률
예 아니오
$1.9만 거래량 31/12
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Cuban regime falls in 2026?
13%
확률
예 아니오
$157.4만 거래량 31/12
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
21%
확률
예 아니오
$1.1만 거래량 31/12
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