This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a bill that, if enacted, would impose restrictions, beyond any that exist at the time of market creation, on military assistance from the United States to Israel by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Politics
· house
Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30?
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30?
Yes is trading at 14% and No at 86%, based on live order-book prices on Polymarket. The numbers move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30?
The market gives Yes a 14% implied chance. These probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as news breaks, not guarantees.
When does the Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30 market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on 30 Sep 2026 (92 days left), settling under Polymarket's published rules once the outcome is confirmed.
How can I trade Will the US House pass a bill restricting military aid to Israel by September 30 on Polymarket?
Follow the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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