This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
September 30, 2026
$269 Volume
6%
December 31, 2026
$4K Volume
12%
Resolved 4
December 31, 2025
$58.7K Volume
No
March 31, 2026
$34.6K Volume
No
June 30, 2026
$17.3K Volume
No
July 31, 2026
$2.1K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Mike Johnson out as Speaker by?
The current front-runner is December 31, 2026 at 11%, ahead of September 30, 2026 at 4%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Mike Johnson out as Speaker by?
Traders currently imply a 11% chance for December 31, 2026. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Mike Johnson out as Speaker by market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Mike Johnson out as Speaker by?
Total traded volume on this market is $117K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Mike Johnson out as Speaker by on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
