This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
July 31, 2026
$623 Volume
3%
December 31, 2026
$3.3K Volume
14%
Resolved 3
December 31, 2025
$58.7K Volume
No
March 31, 2026
$34.6K Volume
No
June 30, 2026
$17.3K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Mike Johnson out as Speaker by?
The front-runner right now is December 31, 2026 at 13%, ahead of July 31, 2026 at 2%. These implied odds update with every trade on Polymarket's order book.
What do traders predict for Mike Johnson out as Speaker by?
The market gives December 31, 2026 a 13% implied chance. These probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as news breaks, not guarantees.
When does the Mike Johnson out as Speaker by market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (183 days left), settling under Polymarket's published rules once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Mike Johnson out as Speaker by?
Total traded volume on this market is $114.6K - a gauge of how much real money traders have put behind the outcome.
How can I trade Mike Johnson out as Speaker by on Polymarket?
Follow the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
