When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

Volume $26.6K
Liquidity $70.2K
Ends 03/07/2026 00:00
Jerome Powell Politics Fed Trump Fed Rates
Yes Probability
49%
No Probability
51%
Trading Volume
$26.6K
Time Remaining
72 days left
May 15โ€“22
$11.5K Volume
48%
May 23โ€“29
$3.2K Volume
14%
May 30โ€“June 5
$1K Volume
10%
June 6โ€“12
$1.2K Volume
13%
June 20โ€“26
$1.3K Volume
5%
June 13โ€“19
$1.6K Volume
3%
Before May 15
$5K Volume
2%
June 27โ€“July 3
$894 Volume
2%
After July 3
$779 Volume
3%

About This Market

This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.

Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.

The scheduled end of Powellโ€™s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.

This market is restricted to Powellโ€™s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powellโ€™s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this marketโ€™s resolution.

All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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