Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

Volume $12K
Liquidity $8.9K
Ends 30/06/2026 00:00
Politics Trump Fed Jerome Powell Fed Rates
Yes Probability
17%
No Probability
83%
Trading Volume
$12K
Time Remaining
69 days left
June 30
$6.1K Volume
84%
May 31
$2K Volume
66%
May 16
$3.9K Volume
14%

About This Market

This market will resolve to โ€œYesโ€ if Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to โ€œNoโ€.

Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.

The scheduled end of Powellโ€™s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.

This market is restricted to Powellโ€™s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powellโ€™s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this marketโ€™s resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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