UFC Fight Night: Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Main Card)

Asu Almabayev enters as the clear favorite in this flyweight main-card bout due to his elite grappling pedigree, recent submission win over Alex Perez, and overall 23-3 record that includes victories against ranked competition. The Kazakh prospect’s wrestling and BJJ transitions have overwhelmed most opponents, and the Baku event location offers a significant home-crowd advantage. Charles Johnson, ranked No. 14 at 19-8, brings veteran experience, knockout power, and prior wins over top flyweights like Joshua Van, yet faces a substantial stylistic mismatch against a younger, higher-ranked grappler on a quick turnaround. Recent form, reach disparity, and Almabayev’s finishing rate shape trader consensus around the Kazakh contender’s dominance.