Politics · Turkey

Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

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$6.7K Volume

31/12/2026 00:00

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if a constitutional referendum in Turkey is officially announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Constitutional referendum refers to any nationwide vote in Turkey on whether to approve an amendment, or multiple amendments, to the Turkish Constitution.

Officially announced refers to any announcement of a specific date for the referendum, or a definitive announcement that a referendum will be held (e.g. after a constitutional amendment has passed the parliament and been submitted to a referendum by the president).

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Turkey; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

Yes is priced at 14% and No at 87%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.

What do traders predict for Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

Traders currently imply a 14% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026 market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?

Total traded volume on this market is $6.7K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026 on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.