Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of Deputies of Spain in the constituency of Cuenca as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be ranked by the number of seats won by their electoral lists (candidaturas) in the constituency of Cuenca, attributed as set out below. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by their lists in the constituency of Cuenca, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Seats and votes will be attributed according to the electoral list on which they were obtained, as reported in the official results, regardless of the party membership of individual candidates. Lists will be attributed as follows:
PSOE: lists of the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party, including the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC) lists in Catalonia.
PP: lists of the People's Party, including the joint UPN–PP list in Navarre.
Broad Front (FA): all Broad Front lists, including Catalunya en Comú in Catalonia, Compromís–Valencian Front in the Valencian Community, and Canarian People’s Unity (UPC) in the Canary Islands.
ERC: Republican Left of Catalonia lists, including the joint ERC–Podem lists in Catalonia.
Podemos: only lists presented by Podemos on its own.
CCa: Canarian Coalition lists, including the joint CCa–1º CAN lists in the Canary Islands.
Any other list will be attributed to the party or coalition that presents it, as named in the official proclamation of candidacies.
Electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Spanish Ministry of the Interior (https://infoelectoral.interior.gob.es/).
PP
$2.3K Volume
87%▼7%
PSOE
$1.5K Volume
16%▲4%
Vox
$642 Volume
2%
Broad Front (FA)
$996 Volume
1%
Podemos
$680 Volume
<1%
Party A
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Party B
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Party C
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Party D
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Party E
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Party F
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Party G
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Party H
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Party I
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Party J
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Party K
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Party L
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Party M
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Party N
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Party O
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Party P
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Party Q
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Party R
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Party S
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Party T
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Party U
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Party V
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Party W
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Party X
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Party Y
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Party Z
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Party AA
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Party AB
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Party AC
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Party AD
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Other
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Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Spain General Election: Cuenca Winner?
The current front-runner is PP at 79%, ahead of Party A at 50%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Spain General Election: Cuenca Winner?
Traders currently imply a 79% chance for PP. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Spain General Election: Cuenca Winner market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 30 Nov 2026 (16 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Spain General Election: Cuenca Winner?
Total traded volume on this market is $6.1K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Spain General Election: Cuenca Winner on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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