NVDA · Equities

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above ___ end of August?

$1.1K Volume
31/08/2026 20:00
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$140
$60 Volume
99%
$150
$60 Volume
99%
$160
$1.1K Volume
98%
$170
$5 Volume
98%
$180
91%
$190
$40 Volume
80%
$200
68%
$210
57%
$220
38%
$230
92%
$240
25%
$250
21%
$260
18%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final trading day of August 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".

Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.

If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.

For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.

If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.

Resolution Source: pythdata.app

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above ___ end of August?
At 89%, $160 has pulled far clear of $150 (85%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above ___ end of August?
Traders price $160 at a 89% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above ___ end of August market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Aug 2026 (28 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above ___ end of August?
Traders have put $1.1K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above ___ end of August on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

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