This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Flash-Lite model (3.6+) is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Gemini" and "Flash-Lite" and be designated as version 3.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 3.6 or higher named in the same manner as Gemini 3.1 Flash-Lite or Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Gemini 4 Flash-Lite, while models whose name does not include "Flash-Lite" or which retain a version designation below 3.6, such as Gemini 3.6 Flash or Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite, will not qualify. Specialized modality variants, such as Gemini Flash-Lite Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
November 3
$329 Volume
5%
November 4
$296 Volume
1%
November 5
$296 Volume
1%
November 6
$249 Volume
1%
November 7
$411 Volume
7%
November 8
$279 Volume
1%
November 9
$339 Volume
1%
November 10
$385 Volume
74%
November 11
$516 Volume
50%
November 12
$363 Volume
4%
November 13
$231 Volume
1%
November 14
$444 Volume
1%
November 15
$265 Volume
1%
November 16
$306 Volume
1%
November 17
$407 Volume
5%
November 18
$287 Volume
8%
November 19
$406 Volume
73%
November 20
$329 Volume
7%
November 21
$247 Volume
1%
November 22
$238 Volume
6%
November 23
$358 Volume
75%
November 24
$1.3K Volume
5%
November 25
$318 Volume
1%
November 26
$311 Volume
6%
November 27
$246 Volume
1%
November 28
$450 Volume
79%
November 29
$327 Volume
1%
No release by November 30
$1.7K Volume
86%
November 30
$232 Volume
1%
Resolved 3
On or prior to October 31
$259 Volume
No
November 1
$447 Volume
No
November 2
$351 Volume
No
Relevant Guides
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Next Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released on?
The current front-runner is No release by November 30 at 50%, ahead of November 28 at 43%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Next Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released on?
Traders currently imply a 50% chance for No release by November 30. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Next Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released on market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Dec 2026 (28 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Next Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released on?
Total traded volume on this market is $12.9K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Next Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released on on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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