This market will resolve to โYesโ if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to โNoโ.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to โNoโ.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
Trump
Fed
Politics
Fed Chair
Yes Probability
1%
No Probability
99%
Trading Volume
$604.5K
Time Remaining
23 days left
June 30
$119 Volume
88%
May 15
$220K Volume
31%
May 1
$384.3K Volume
1%