This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trump
· Fed
· Politics
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?
May 15
$524.8K Volume
99%
May 1
$782.6K Volume
1%
June 30
$51.1K Volume
99%
About This Market
Similar Markets

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
December 31
Yes 68¢No 32¢
October 31
Yes 57¢No 43¢

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
December 31
Yes 3¢No 97¢
June 30
Yes 1¢No 99¢

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 31
Yes 47¢No 53¢
October 31
Yes 27¢No 73¢

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
July 31
Yes 61¢No 39¢
June 30
Yes 36¢No 64¢

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
July 31
Yes 59¢No 41¢
June 30
Yes 33¢No 67¢