This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Manufacturing PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Manufacturing PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Past
<51.0
$982 Volume
3%
51.0–51.9
$880 Volume
2%
52.0–52.9
$1.1K Volume
11%
53.0–53.9
$1.1K Volume
23%
54.0–54.9
$3.8K Volume
40%
55.0–55.9
$16.4K Volume
32%
56.0–56.9
$1.4K Volume
9%
57.0–57.9
$1K Volume
3%
58.0–58.9
$958 Volume
7%
59.0+
$735 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026?
The current front-runner is 54.0–54.9 at 37%, ahead of 55.0–55.9 at 30%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026?
Traders currently imply a 37% chance for 54.0–54.9. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Sep 2026 (7 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026?
Total traded volume on this market is $3.7K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
↓ 77,50077%YesNo
↑ 82,50047%YesNo
↓ 75,00083%YesNo
↑ 85,00071%YesNo
December 3176%YesNo
October 3157%YesNo
54,00099%YesNo
56,00099%YesNo
Arsenal53%YesNo
Manchester City19%YesNo





