This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
<1.2M
$20 Volume
43%
1.2M-1.25M
$20 Volume
81%
1.25M-1.3M
$20 Volume
76%
1.3M-1.35M
$20 Volume
46%
1.35M-1.4M
$20 Volume
50%
1.4M-1.45M
$20 Volume
48%
1.45M-1.5M
$20 Volume
76%
1.5M-1.55M
$20 Volume
77%
1.55M-1.6M
$20 Volume
81%
1.6M+
$20 Volume
72%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Iowa Senate Election: Turnout?
The field is wide open: 1.5M-1.55M tops it at just 44%, with 1.45M-1.5M close behind at 43%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Iowa Senate Election: Turnout?
No strong consensus yet: 1.5M-1.55M tops the implied probabilities at just 44%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Iowa Senate Election: Turnout market resolve?
Mark 3 Nov 2026 (72 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Iowa Senate Election: Turnout?
$200 in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Iowa Senate Election: Turnout on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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