This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
24°C or below
$5.4K Volume
1%
25°C
$3K Volume
1%
26°C
$3.2K Volume
1%
27°C
$4.3K Volume
1%
28°C
$16.1K Volume
1%
29°C
$49K Volume
1%
30°C
$35.3K Volume
1%
31°C
$22.3K Volume
89%
32°C
$29.3K Volume
23%
33°C
$18.1K Volume
1%
34°C or higher
$22.4K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 6?
At 85%, 31°C has pulled far clear of 32°C (17%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 6?
Traders price 31°C at a 85% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 6 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 6 Jul 2026 (1 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 6?
Traders have put $263.8K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 6 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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