primary elections · House Primary

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner

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$46.9K Volume
18/08/2026 00:00
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Thomas Chalifoux
$15.2K Volume
44%
Ben Butler
$1.5K Volume
44%
Dan Green
$3.1K Volume
18%
Justin Story
$9.3K Volume
2%
Marcus Carter
$2K Volume
1%
Steve Rance
$690 Volume
1%
Jorge Malavet
$3.3K Volume
1%
Howard Steven Rance
$8.5K Volume
1%
Jorge Martinez
$3.3K Volume
1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for FL-09 Republican Primary Winner?
The field is wide open: Thomas Chalifoux tops it at just 44%, with Ben Butler close behind at 36%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for FL-09 Republican Primary Winner?
No strong consensus yet: Thomas Chalifoux tops the implied probabilities at just 44%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the FL-09 Republican Primary Winner market resolve?
The market runs until 18 Aug 2026 (22 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on FL-09 Republican Primary Winner?
$46.9K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade FL-09 Republican Primary Winner on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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