This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Republican Party
$12.8K Volume
80%
Democratic Party
$8.2K Volume
22%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for FL-04 House Election Winner?
Republican Party leads the field at 79%, with Democratic Party next at 21%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for FL-04 House Election Winner?
The market makes Republican Party the favorite at 79%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the FL-04 House Election Winner market resolve?
Mark 3 Nov 2026 (119 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on FL-04 House Election Winner?
Total turnover stands at $21K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade FL-04 House Election Winner on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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