This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 2 '26 12:00 ET candle.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jul 1 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 2 '26 12:00 ET candle.
If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
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Resolution Source: www.binance.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Ethereum Up or Down on July 2?
It's a genuine race: Up edges the field at 60%, barely ahead of Down at 41%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Ethereum Up or Down on July 2?
At 60% implied for Up, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Ethereum Up or Down on July 2 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 2 Jul 2026 (1 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Ethereum Up or Down on July 2?
Traders have put $61.6K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Ethereum Up or Down on July 2 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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