Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

Volume $3M
Liquidity $638.7K
Ends 31/05/2026 16:00
World Elections Global Elections Politics Colombia Election
Yes Probability
1%
No Probability
99%
Trading Volume
$3M
Time Remaining
40 days left
Iván Cepeda Castro
$165.6K Volume
84%
Abelardo de la Espriella
$570.8K Volume
11%
Paloma Valencia
$305.6K Volume
1%
Vicky Dávila
$365.2K Volume
1%
Luis Gilberto Murillo
$144.5K Volume
1%
Claudia López
$113.6K Volume
1%
David Luna Sánchez
$214.1K Volume
1%
Juan Daniel Oviedo
$107.1K Volume
1%
Gustavo Bolívar
$132.8K Volume
1%
Sergio Fajardo
$117.4K Volume
1%
Juan Manuel Galán
$136K Volume
1%
Germán Vargas Lleras
$96.4K Volume
1%
Roy Barreras
$128.9K Volume
1%
Daniel Quintero
$75.8K Volume
1%
Juan Carlos Pinzón
$93.2K Volume
1%
Mauricio Cárdenas
$116.9K Volume
1%
Enrique Peñalosa
$121.2K Volume
1%
Person I
50%
Person J
50%
Person K
50%
Person L
50%
Other
50%
1 Options resolved

About This Market

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

AI Analysis

The prediction market for the Colombia Presidential Election's first round winner currently shows a low probability of 0.1%, reflecting the uncertainty surrounding the candidates ahead of the elections scheduled for May 31, 2026. With a trading volume of $2.9 million, this market highlights the significant interest in the electoral landscape, where a second round may occur on June 21, 2026, if no candidate achieves the required majority. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for investors and analysts as they gauge potential political shifts and their implications for Colombia's future.

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