BTC $113,247 ▲2.31% ETH $3,847 ▲1.84% SOL $284 ▲4.12% SPX 5,847 ▼0.43% TRUMP-PARDON-HUNTER 67¢ +4 BTC-120K-EOY 43¢ −2 FED-50BP-Q3 64¢ +8 NBA-FINALS Game 7 Thunder 42¢ HAMAS-CEASEFIRE-Q3 31¢ +1 NEWSOM-2028 54¢ +13 IRAN-ISRAEL-DIRECT 18¢ +11 ETH-ETF-STAKING 71¢ +3 BTC $113,247 ▲2.31% ETH $3,847 ▲1.84% SOL $284 ▲4.12% SPX 5,847 ▼0.43% TRUMP-PARDON-HUNTER 67¢ +4 BTC-120K-EOY 43¢ −2 FED-50BP-Q3 64¢ +8 NBA-FINALS Game 7 Thunder 42¢ HAMAS-CEASEFIRE-Q3 31¢ +1 NEWSOM-2028 54¢ +13
World · Elections · Global Elections

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

$10.2M Volume
31/05/2026 16:00
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Abelardo de la Espriella
$3.3M Volume
99%
Iván Cepeda Castro
$1.9M Volume
1%
Resolved 21
Vicky Dávila
$509.5K Volume
No
Luis Gilberto Murillo
$301.3K Volume
No
Claudia López
$304.3K Volume
No
David Luna Sánchez
$284.3K Volume
No
Juan Daniel Oviedo
$156.9K Volume
No
Miguel Uribe Turbay
$36.5K Volume
No
Gustavo Bolívar
$230.3K Volume
No
Sergio Fajardo
$232.2K Volume
No
Juan Manuel Galán
$235.2K Volume
No
Germán Vargas Lleras
$287.1K Volume
No
Paloma Valencia
$1.1M Volume
No
Roy Barreras
$288.1K Volume
No
Daniel Quintero
$256.7K Volume
No
Juan Carlos Pinzón
$145.6K Volume
No
Mauricio Cárdenas
$336.2K Volume
No
Enrique Peñalosa
$310.4K Volume
No
Person I
No
Person J
No
Person K
No
Person L
No
Other
No

About This Market

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

AI Analysis

The prediction market for the Colombia Presidential Election's first round winner currently shows a low probability of 0.1%, reflecting the uncertainty surrounding the candidates ahead of the elections scheduled for May 31, 2026. With a trading volume of $2.9 million, this market highlights the significant interest in the electoral landscape, where a second round may occur on June 21, 2026, if no candidate achieves the required majority. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for investors and analysts as they gauge potential political shifts and their implications for Colombia's future.

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