U2 · Music

'Carnaval de Luz' First Week Album Sales?

View on Polymarket

$35 Volume

21/11/2026 04:59

View on Polymarket

View on Official Site Trade with real money on Polymarket →

45k+

$1 Volume

97%

55k+

98%

65k+

98%

75k+

94%

85k+

96%

"Carnaval de Luz" (U2 / Interscope Records) is expected to release November 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the debut week sales for "Carnaval de Luz", according to Hits Daily Double, are greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the album has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

Relevant Guides

Trading Basics

Understanding prices, orders, and trading in prediction markets

Trading Strategies

6 proven strategies for trading on Polymarket

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for 'Carnaval de Luz' First Week Album Sales?

The current front-runner is 45k+ at 57%, ahead of 55k+ at 50%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.

What do traders predict for 'Carnaval de Luz' First Week Album Sales?

Traders currently imply a 57% chance for 45k+. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the 'Carnaval de Luz' First Week Album Sales market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 21 Nov 2026 (18 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on 'Carnaval de Luz' First Week Album Sales?

Total traded volume on this market is $35, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade 'Carnaval de Luz' First Week Album Sales on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.