Up or Down · Crypto Prices

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

$246.1K Volume
09/08/2026 08:00
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This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down".
The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams.
Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.

Resolution Source: data.chain.link

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET?
Up dominates the field at 96%; the nearest challenger, Down, trades at just 4%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET?
Traders price Up at a 96% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET market resolve?
The market runs until 9 Aug 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET?
$246.1K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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