This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 27 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 28 '26 12:00 ET candle.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 27 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 28 '26 12:00 ET candle.
If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution Source: www.binance.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28?
No runaway leader here - Up at 62% versus Down at 39%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28?
At 62% implied for Up, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28 market resolve?
Mark 28 Jul 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28?
$229.3K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Bitcoin Up or Down on July 28 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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