Crypto · Crypto Prices

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 8?

View on Polymarket

$265.7K Volume

08/08/2026 16:00

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This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 7 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 8 '26 12:00 ET candle.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 7 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 8 '26 12:00 ET candle.

If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Resolution Source: www.binance.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on August 8?

It's a genuine race: Down edges the field at 52%, barely ahead of Up at 49%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.

What do traders predict for Bitcoin Up or Down on August 8?

At 52% implied for Down, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down on August 8 market resolve?

The market runs until 8 Aug 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.

How much money is trading on Bitcoin Up or Down on August 8?

$265.7K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.

How can I trade Bitcoin Up or Down on August 8 on Polymarket?

You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.