This market refers to the tennis match between Jannik Sinner and Shintaro Mochizuki in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 6:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Jannik Sinner' if Jannik Sinner advances against Shintaro Mochizuki.
This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Jannik Sinner.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki
ATPWIMBLEDON
Shintaro Mochizuki
0-0
–
vs
05/07 16:00
–
Jannik Sinner
0-0
Game context
Jannik Sinner, the defending Wimbledon champion and top seed, enters this potential matchup with strong recent grass-court momentum after straight-sets wins over Nuno Borges and earlier opponents, though his opening-round five-setter highlighted occasional footwork adjustments on the slick surface. Shintaro Mochizuki, ranked No. 151, has posted dominant early-round results including a 6-3, 6-0, 6-0 victory over Max Basing and a three-set win against Ethan Quinn, leveraging aggressive baseline play and improved serving. The pair has no prior head-to-head, but Sinner’s superior ranking, experience in high-stakes grass matches, and overall consistency create a significant gap. Key variables include Sinner’s physical freshness after a demanding schedule and any late draw developments that could alter their paths.
Moneyline
$20.9K Vol.Match Completed
1st Set Winner
$1K Vol.Set Winner
$25 Vol.Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 2 Winner
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 3 Winner
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 4 Winner
Set Total
$68 Vol.Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki Total Sets: O/U 3.5
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 2 O/U 8.5
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki Total Sets: O/U 4.5
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 2 O/U 9.5
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 2 O/U 10.5
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 3 O/U 8.5
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 3 O/U 9.5
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 3 O/U 10.5
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 4 O/U 8.5
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 4 O/U 9.5
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 4 O/U 10.5
Set Handicap
$298 Vol.Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set Handicap +/-1.5
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set Handicap +/-2.5
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set Handicap +/-1.5
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set Handicap +/-2.5
Total Games
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki Match O/U 36.5
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki Match O/U 38.5
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki Match O/U 40.5
1st Set Total
$17 Vol.Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 1 O/U 8.5
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 1 O/U 9.5
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 1 O/U 10.5
Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki?
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set Handicap +/-1.5 dominates the field at 89%; the nearest challenger, Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 2 Winner, trades at just 87%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki?
Traders price Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set Handicap +/-1.5 at a 89% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 11 Jul 2026 (7 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki?
Traders have put $14.4M through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Shintaro Mochizuki on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
Similar Markets
Aryna Sabalenka24%YesNo
Iga Swiatek17%YesNo
Jannik Sinner60%YesNo
Novak Djokovic14%YesNo
Aryna Sabalenka33%YesNo
Jessica Pegula9%YesNo
Jannik Sinner45%YesNo
Carlos Alcaraz22%YesNo
