This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to โNoโ.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to โOtherโ.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
Soccer
Sports
FIFA World Cup
2026 FIFA World Cup
Yes Probability
16%
No Probability
84%
Trading Volume
$720.9M
Time Remaining
89 days left
Spain
$15.2M Volume
16%
France
$16.9M Volume
16%
England
$12.4M Volume
11%
Argentina
$13M Volume
9%
Brazil
$13.2M Volume
8%
Portugal
$14.2M Volume
8%
Germany
$12.5M Volume
5%
Netherlands
$14.7M Volume
3%
Norway
$12.9M Volume
2%
Belgium
$13.5M Volume
2%
Japan
$16.4M Volume
2%
Morocco
$14.8M Volume
2%
Colombia
$12.3M Volume
2%
USA
$18.2M Volume
1%
Mexico
$14.8M Volume
1%
Switzerland
$13.3M Volume
1%
Uruguay
$13.5M Volume
1%
Croatia
$12.2M Volume
1%
Turkiye
$6.2M Volume
1%
Ecuador
$15.6M Volume
1%
Senegal
$13.6M Volume
1%
Austria
$14.4M Volume
1%
Sweden
$5.2M Volume
1%
Canada
$15.6M Volume
1%
Paraguay
$16.1M Volume
1%
Scotland
$16.1M Volume
1%
Ivory Coast
$13.6M Volume
1%
South Korea
$18.9M Volume
1%
Iran
$15.6M Volume
1%
Algeria
$15.4M Volume
1%
Czechia
$4.5M Volume
1%
Australia
$13.1M Volume
1%
Egypt
$16M Volume
1%
New Zealand
$23.2M Volume
1%
Haiti
$15.8M Volume
1%
Jordan
$19.8M Volume
1%
Curaรงao
$29.8M Volume
1%
Ghana
$14.5M Volume
1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
$5.1M Volume
1%
Tunisia
$15.1M Volume
1%
Uzbekistan
$33M Volume
1%
Panama
$6.7M Volume
1%
South Africa
$23.5M Volume
1%
Congo DR
$11.6M Volume
1%
Saudi Arabia
$21.8M Volume
1%
Iraq
$4.5M Volume
1%
Cape Verde
$16.6M Volume
1%
Qatar
$17.4M Volume
1%
Team AM
50%
Team AI
50%
Other
50%
Team AG
50%
Team AH
50%
Team AL
50%
Team AN
50%
Team AJ
50%
Team AK
50%
Team AO
50%
2 Options resolved
About This Market
AI Analysis
The prediction market for the 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner currently assigns a 16.0% probability to the leading national team, reflecting significant trading activity with a volume of $700.0 million. This market is crucial for bettors and analysts alike, as it provides insights into team performance expectations and fan sentiment leading up to the tournament. Understanding these dynamics can help stakeholders make informed decisions in the competitive landscape of sports betting.