This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?
Yes is the outsider here at 43%, while No trades at 58%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 43%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 1 Jan 2027 (156 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?
Total turnover stands at $1.2K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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