This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on July 6 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
$410
$10 Volume
26%
$420
$10 Volume
13%
$430
18%
$450
$10 Volume
8%
$440
$10 Volume
12%
Resolution Source: finance.yahoo.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on July 6?
The field is wide open: $410 tops it at just 16%, with $430 close behind at 10%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on July 6?
No strong consensus yet: $410 tops the implied probabilities at just 16%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on July 6 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 6 Jul 2026 (4 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on July 6?
Traders have put $4.4K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on July 6 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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