This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mike Bouchard
$4.8K Volume
87%
Robert Lulgjuraj
$3.8K Volume
15%
Casey Armitage
$2.9K Volume
1%
Justin Kirk
$1.4K Volume
1%
Steven Elliott
$2.4K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for MI-10 Republican Primary Winner?
The front-runner right now is Mike Bouchard at 86%, ahead of Robert Lulgjuraj at 14%. These implied odds update with every trade on Polymarket's order book.
What do traders predict for MI-10 Republican Primary Winner?
The market gives Mike Bouchard a 86% implied chance. These probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as news breaks, not guarantees.
When does the MI-10 Republican Primary Winner market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on 4 Aug 2026 (34 days left), settling under Polymarket's published rules once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on MI-10 Republican Primary Winner?
Total traded volume on this market is $15.3K - a gauge of how much real money traders have put behind the outcome.
How can I trade MI-10 Republican Primary Winner on Polymarket?
Follow the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
Gavin Newsom20%YesNo
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez11%YesNo
J.D. Vance42%YesNo
Marco Rubio23%YesNo
Byron Donalds95%YesNo
James Fishback3%YesNo
Abdul El-Sayed84%YesNo
Haley Stevens14%YesNo
Francesca Hong46%YesNo
Sara Rodriguez44%YesNo
Lois Frankel92%YesNo
Oliver Adams Larkin5%YesNo
Cori Bush53%YesNo
Wesley Bell47%YesNo
Bridget Brink69%YesNo
William Lawrence27%YesNo
