Politics · South Korea

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

$7K Volume
31/12/2026 00:00
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Yes is the outsider here at 11%, while No trades at 89%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 11% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027 market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (159 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
$7K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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