South Korea · World · Politics

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

$551 Volume
31/12/2026 00:00
Yes Probability
8%
No Probability
92%
Trading Volume
$551
Time Remaining
252 days left
Yes
$56.7K Volume
7%

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Start Polymarket Training For Free
Trade prediction markets with virtual money. Real prices, zero risk. Compete on the leaderboard.
$10K
500+
$0
Start Training ModePractice trading with $10,000 virtual money — real Polymarket prices

Start Polymarket Training For Free

Trade prediction markets with virtual money. Real prices, zero risk. Compete on the leaderboard.