This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of Israel and Hezbollah who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Hezbollah relations on behalf of their governments/leadership structures. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah leadership, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Geopolitics
· Hezbollah
· Lebanon
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?
June 30
$15.8K Volume
3%
Resolved 2
May 31
$14.9K Volume
No
April 26
$18.8K Volume
No
About This Market
Similar Markets

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
December 31
Yes 68¢No 32¢
October 31
Yes 57¢No 43¢

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
Yes 59¢No 41¢
Yes 37¢No 63¢

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
June 30
Yes 3¢No 97¢

Iran closes its airspace by...?
July 31
Yes 32¢No 68¢
July 15
Yes 25¢No 75¢

Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei
Yes 73¢No 27¢
Reza Pahlavi
Yes 6¢No 94¢

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
December 31
Yes 3¢No 97¢
June 30
Yes 1¢No 99¢