This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
<$30B
$460 Volume
80%
$30B–$40B
$447 Volume
8%
$40B–$50B
$1.6K Volume
45%
$50B–$60B
$794 Volume
7%
$60B–$70B
$480 Volume
19%
$70B–$80B
$473 Volume
9%
$80B–$90B
$432 Volume
12%
$90B–$100B
$290 Volume
2%
$100B+
$518 Volume
64%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
Even the leader is cheap - <$30B trades at 40%, $40B–$50B at 33%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
No strong consensus yet: <$30B tops the implied probabilities at just 40%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Dec 2027 (539 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
Traders have put $5.5K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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