This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by OpenAI in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
<$30B
$603 Volume
66%
$30B–$40B
$463 Volume
8%
$40B–$50B
$1.6K Volume
69%
$50B–$60B
$1.2K Volume
6%
$60B–$70B
$496 Volume
11%
$70B–$80B
$489 Volume
21%
$80B–$90B
$448 Volume
61%
$90B–$100B
$306 Volume
8%
$100B+
$637 Volume
29%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
The current front-runner is $40B–$50B at 35%, ahead of <$30B at 34%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
Traders currently imply a 35% chance for $40B–$50B. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2027 (494 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
Total traded volume on this market is $6.2K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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