This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
26°C or below
$19.6K Volume
1%
27°C
$13.4K Volume
1%
28°C
$10.5K Volume
1%
29°C
$12.6K Volume
1%
30°C
$14.8K Volume
1%
31°C
$45.3K Volume
1%
32°C
$39.9K Volume
1%
33°C
$37.2K Volume
99%
34°C
$36.3K Volume
1%
35°C
$11.2K Volume
1%
36°C or higher
$5.5K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 1?
The front-runner right now is 33°C at 99%, ahead of 34°C at 1%. These implied odds update with every trade on Polymarket's order book.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 1?
The market gives 33°C a 99% implied chance. These probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as news breaks, not guarantees.
When does the Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 1 market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jul 2026 (1 days left), settling under Polymarket's published rules once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 1?
Total traded volume on this market is $293K - a gauge of how much real money traders have put behind the outcome.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 1 on Polymarket?
Follow the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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