New Zealand vs. Belgium (Resolved)

**Belgium enters as the clear favorite at 78.5% implied probability to defeat New Zealand (8.5% for NZ, 14.5% draw) in their June 26/27 FIFA World Cup 2026 Group G match at BC Place in Vancouver.** Belgium’s advantages stem from a deeper, more experienced squad featuring established stars and greater technical quality, contrasting with New Zealand’s limited World Cup pedigree and results against stronger opposition. Recent group-stage action reinforces this positioning: Belgium earned a point from a 1-1 draw with Egypt, while New Zealand secured a draw against Iran. Belgium’s consistent attacking options and defensive organization give them the edge in a neutral-venue matchup against an underdog side that has historically struggled to secure wins at this level. Traders appear to price in Belgium’s higher likelihood of controlling possession and creating quality chances, tempered slight