This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jun 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 1 '26 12:00 ET candle.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Jun 30 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 1 '26 12:00 ET candle.
If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution Source: www.binance.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Ethereum Up or Down on July 1?
The front-runner right now is Up at 94%, ahead of Down at 7%. These implied odds update with every trade on Polymarket's order book.
What do traders predict for Ethereum Up or Down on July 1?
The market gives Up a 94% implied chance. These probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as news breaks, not guarantees.
When does the Ethereum Up or Down on July 1 market resolve?
It is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jul 2026 (1 days left), settling under Polymarket's published rules once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Ethereum Up or Down on July 1?
Total traded volume on this market is $81.1K - a gauge of how much real money traders have put behind the outcome.
How can I trade Ethereum Up or Down on July 1 on Polymarket?
Follow the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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