This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Clavicular is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Clavicular for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Clavicular sentenced to prison?
The market prices Yes at only 15%, with No at 86%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Clavicular sentenced to prison?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 15%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Clavicular sentenced to prison market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Dec 2026 (169 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Clavicular sentenced to prison?
$67.2K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Clavicular sentenced to prison on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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