Crypto · Crypto Prices

Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3?

View on Polymarket

$300.4K Volume

03/07/2026 16:00

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This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jul 3 '26 12:00 ET candle.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jul 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jul 3 '26 12:00 ET candle.

If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Resolution Source: www.binance.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3?

Up dominates the field at 89%; the nearest challenger, Down, trades at just 12%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.

What do traders predict for Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3?

With 89% implied for Up, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.

When does the Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3 market resolve?

Resolution is scheduled for 3 Jul 2026 (1 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.

How much money is trading on Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3?

$300.4K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.

How can I trade Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3 on Polymarket?

Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.