This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on the final trading day of August 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.
Past
$250
97%
$260
97%
$270
97%
$280
97%
$290
97%
$300
97%
$310
97%
$320
98%
$330
98%
$340
98%
$350
97%
$360
97%
$370
97%
Resolution Source: pythdata.app
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Apple (AAPL) close above ___ end of August?
It's a genuine race: $250 edges the field at 50%, barely ahead of $260 at 50%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Will Apple (AAPL) close above ___ end of August?
At 50% implied for $250, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Will Apple (AAPL) close above ___ end of August market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Aug 2026 (31 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Will Apple (AAPL) close above ___ end of August?
Total turnover stands at $10.1K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Will Apple (AAPL) close above ___ end of August on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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