This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Meta
$5.4K Volume
20%
Google
$10.5K Volume
21%
OpenAI
$339 Volume
11%
Alibaba
$2.1K Volume
11%
Moonshot
$404 Volume
13%
Anthropic
$433 Volume
3%
Mistral
$396 Volume
7%
Z.ai
$329 Volume
9%
DeepSeek
$291 Volume
1%
SpaceXAI
$291 Volume
1%
Baidu
$307 Volume
7%
ByteDance
$452 Volume
1%
Meituan
$543 Volume
1%
Xiaomi
$499 Volume
1%
MiniMax
$393 Volume
1%
Thinky
$377 Volume
1%
Amazon
$390 Volume
1%
Nvidia
$372 Volume
1%
Tencent
$377 Volume
1%
StepFun
$372 Volume
1%
Microsoft
$357 Volume
1%
Company A
50%
Company B
50%
Company C
50%
Company D
50%
Company E
50%
Company F
50%
Company G
50%
Company H
50%
Company I
50%
Company K
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for #3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)?
It's a genuine race: Company A edges the field at 50%, barely ahead of Company B at 50%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for #3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)?
Traders give Company A a 50% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the #3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On) market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Oct 2026 (70 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on #3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)?
$17.8K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade #3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On) on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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