Balita at Analisis

Balita, pagsusuri at pananaw sa mga prediction market ng Polymarket - politika, ekonomiya, crypto, sports at geopolitika. Araw-araw na mga update na suportado ng live market data at odds.

2026-07-24

Negosyo

Trump Jr.'s Firm Is Up 200%, and Polymarket Is a Big Reason

1789 Capital, the firm co-run by Donald Trump Jr., posted about 200% returns. It bought into Polymarket at a $300 million valuation in 2025; after a US license, the platform is reportedly worth $15 billion - close to a 50x paper gain.

2026-07-24

Nangungunang Balita

The Typical Polymarket Trader Isn't a Whale. She's Down Two Dollars. Imbestigasyon2026-07-23 Five Wallets Took the Millions. Everyone Else Paid the Cover. World Cup 20262026-07-21 The Tip Over Lunch, and the Ledger That Never Forgets Heopolitika2026-07-19 The Villa Got a Ledger: How Love Island Turned Fans Into Traders Negosyo2026-07-18

Malalim na Pagsusuri Mga imbestigasyon at mahahabang ulat

The Last Three Seconds: How Polymarket's Five-Minute Bitcoin Market Got Gamed

A Stanford and Singapore study found 821 wallets pocketed about $8.2 million by nudging Bitcoin's price in the final seconds befor

2026-07-16

Mula Fort Bragg hanggang Tel Aviv: Ang mga pag-aresto sa insider trading ng Polymarket na ngayon ay muling humuhubog sa mga pamilihan ng prediksyon

Isang sundalo ng US Army ang kinasuhan dahil sa $409K na kita mula sa pusta sa pagkakahuli kay Maduro. Isang major ng Israeli Air

2026-05-05

Ang mga resolusyon ng tigil-putukan ng Polymarket na itinuturing na iskandalo ng parehong panig: $203M para sa Iran HINDI, $20.9M para sa Hezbollah OO

Dalawang malaking Polymarket market noong Abril 2026 ang nag-settle sa magkasalungat na direksyon kahit lumabag sa sariling mga pa

2026-05-03

Pinakabago

Heopolitika The Frenchman Who Out-Polled America While the polls called 2024 a coin flip, one anonymous Frenchman bet the mortgage on a hunch about what people won't admit to a stranger. 2026-07-17 Heopolitika The People Betting on Their Own Elections The sharpest edge in an election market isn't a model. It's a staffer who has already seen tomorrow's poll. 2026-07-17 Negosyo The Insiders Who Forgot the Ledger Never Forgets Secret information is only an edge if the trail stays secret. On a public ledger, it never does. 2026-07-17 Negosyo The $160 Million Question of What Counts as a Suit Everyone saw the same photo. More than $160 million rode on whether they agreed on what it showed. 2026-07-17 Crypto The Bounty Hunters of Polymarket A brand-new wallet makes one improbably perfect bet. Somewhere, an alert fires, and the hunt is already on. 2026-07-17 Crypto The Oracle on Trial Predicting the future is the easy part. The hard part is getting a crowd to agree on the past. 2026-07-17 World Cup 2026 The One Opponent Messi Never Faced: Argentina, England and a Price That Keeps Moving Argentina meet England in the World Cup semifinal in Atlanta, 40 years after the Hand of God. Opta makes it near-even, England 38.9% to Argentina 34.1 2026-07-15 World Cup 2026 The Real Final Is July 14: What the Money Knows About the World Cup Semifinals Polymarket prices France ~39%, England ~21.6%, Spain ~21.1%, Argentina ~17.3% for the 2026 World Cup - and the money says the real final is the France 2026-07-14 World Cup 2026 Odds para sa Golden Boot ng World Cup 2026: Nangunguna si Mbappé, humahabol si Kane matapos ang isang season na may 61 goals Live na odds ng Golden Boot ng World Cup 2026 mula sa prediction markets: Mbappé 16%, Kane 12.5%, Oyarzabal 7.5%, Haaland 6%. Sino ang magiging top sc 2026-06-10 World Cup 2026 World Cup 2026 Madilim na Kabayo: Ang mga mangangalakal ay nagbibigay ng 32% na posibilidad na isang unang kampeon ang mag-aangat ng tropeo Aling dark horse ng World Cup 2026 ang pinakamalayong aabot? Binibigyan ng prediction markets ng 32% na tsansa na isang first-time champion ang magbuh 2026-06-10 World Cup 2026 Maglalaro ba ang Iran sa World Cup? Sinasabi ng merkado na 97% - Sa kabila ng digmaan, mga tiket na kinansela at isang hidwaan sa visa Ang partisipasyon ng Iran sa World Cup 2026 sa gitna ng digmaang Israel-Iran: drama sa visa, binawing alokasyon ng tiket, at mga post ni Trump - at ku 2026-06-10 World Cup 2026 Trump at ang World Cup ng Amerika: 47% na pagkakataon sa pagbubukas ng USA - at ang Mexico ay nag-o-overprice sa mga host Dadalo ba si Trump sa opening ng USA laban sa Paraguay sa SoFi? Sabi ng market, 47.5%. Bukod pa: bakit mas mataas ang presyo ng mga trader sa Mexico ( 2026-06-10 World Cup 2026 Pransya o Espanya? Sa loob ng $1.8 bilyong pamilihan ng mga nagwagi sa World Cup Live na odds para manalo sa World Cup 2026 mula sa $1.8 bilyong market ng Polymarket: France 16.2%, Spain 16.1%, England 10.7%. Ang pamamaalam ni Desc 2026-06-10