This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Earthquakes
· Weather
· Natural Disasters
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
June 30
$914 Volume
58%
Resolved 3
May 30
$31.3K Volume
No
April 30
$13.2K Volume
No
May 15
$10.1K Volume
No
About This Market
Similar Markets
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 1 - June 7?
0
Yes 87¢No 13¢
1
Yes 14¢No 86¢
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 1 - June 7?
≤5
Yes 80¢No 20¢
6
Yes 17¢No 83¢
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
0
Yes 67¢No 33¢
1
Yes 21¢No 79¢
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)
≤8
Yes 54¢No 46¢
9
Yes 16¢No 84¢
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes June 8 - June 14?
0
Yes 46¢No 54¢
1
Yes 33¢No 67¢
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
8+
Yes 60¢No 40¢
7
Yes 40¢No 60¢
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
14–16
Yes 35¢No 65¢
11–13
Yes 31¢No 69¢
