Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

Volume $911
Liquidity $4.1K
Ends 31/05/2026 00:00
Earthquakes Weather Natural Disasters Science Culture
Yes Probability
73%
No Probability
27%
Trading Volume
$911
Time Remaining
39 days left
May 30
$293 Volume
71%
May 15
$65 Volume
50%
April 30
$553 Volume
27%

About This Market

This market will resolve to โ€œYesโ€ if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to โ€œNoโ€.

The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).

If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

Start Training ModePractice trading with $10,000 virtual money โ€” real Polymarket prices

Start Polymarket Training For Free

Trade prediction markets with virtual money. Real prices, zero risk. Compete on the leaderboard.