Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.

Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The prediction market regarding President Trump's potential announcement to end military operations against Iran currently reflects a low probability of 0.3%, with a trading volume of $29.2 million. This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official statement is made by Trump, the US government, or the military regarding the cessation of operations that began on February 28, 2026. Understanding this market is crucial for investors and analysts, as it highlights geopolitical tensions and the potential implications of US foreign policy decisions in the Middle East.