This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Middle East
· World
· Yemen
Israel military action against Yemen by...?
June 30
$689.2K Volume
18%
Resolved 4
March 31
$689.9K Volume
No
April 15
$211.6K Volume
No
April 30
$251.4K Volume
No
May 31
$134.4K Volume
No
About This Market
Similar Markets

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
July 31
Yes 54¢No 46¢
June 30
Yes 35¢No 65¢

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 31
Yes 37¢No 63¢
July 31
Yes 21¢No 79¢

Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei
Yes 70¢No 30¢
Reza Pahlavi
Yes 6¢No 94¢

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Benjamin Netanyahu
Yes 34¢No 66¢
Gadi Eizenkot
Yes 29¢No 71¢