🏳 Prediction Markets: Israel–Hamas
16 active marketsIsrael–Hamas war prediction markets — hostages, ceasefires and post-war Gaza

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
December 31
Yes 63¢No 37¢
June 30
Yes 35¢No 65¢

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
Yes 1¢No 99¢
Yes 1¢No 99¢

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
June 30
Yes 52¢No 48¢
May 31
Yes 23¢No 77¢

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
May 31
Yes 8¢No 92¢

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
June 30
Yes 60¢No 40¢
May 31
Yes 24¢No 76¢

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
June 30
Yes 10¢No 90¢
May 31
Yes 5¢No 95¢

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?
Yes 15¢No 85¢
Yes 14¢No 86¢

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
June 30
Yes 10¢No 90¢
May 31
Yes 2¢No 98¢

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 31
Yes 27¢No 73¢
June 30
Yes 13¢No 87¢

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 31
Yes 45¢No 55¢
June 30
Yes 18¢No 82¢

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
Pakistan
Yes 52¢No 48¢
No Meeting by June 30
Yes 39¢No 61¢