🏳 Prediction Markets: Israel–Hamas
19 active marketsIsrael–Hamas war prediction markets — hostages, ceasefires and post-war Gaza
Middle East
Iran
Gaza
Israel
Hostages
Iran–Israel
Israel–Hezbollah
Israel–Lebanon
Israel–Hamas
Yemen
Nuclear Deal

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
May 15
Ndiyo 49¢Hapana 51¢
May 5
Ndiyo 33¢Hapana 67¢

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
June 30
Ndiyo 44¢Hapana 56¢
May 31
Ndiyo 26¢Hapana 74¢

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
June 30
Ndiyo 56¢Hapana 44¢
May 31
Ndiyo 33¢Hapana 67¢

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
June 30
Ndiyo 15¢Hapana 85¢
May 31
Ndiyo 13¢Hapana 87¢

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by...?
April 212%
April 2617%

Who will meet with Iran by April 30?
Steve Witkoff
Ndiyo 16¢Hapana 84¢
Jared Kushner
Ndiyo 15¢Hapana 85¢

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
May 31
Ndiyo 52¢Hapana 48¢
April 30
Ndiyo 12¢Hapana 88¢

Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting on...?
No Meeting before May 11
Ndiyo 59¢Hapana 41¢
April 29
Ndiyo 7¢Hapana 93¢

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
Pakistan
Ndiyo 73¢Hapana 27¢
No Meeting by June 30
Ndiyo 19¢Hapana 81¢

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?
Oil Sanction ReliefNdiyo 7¢Hapana 93¢
Unfreeze Iranian AssetsNdiyo 4¢Hapana 96¢

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 31
Ndiyo 28¢Hapana 72¢
May 31
Ndiyo 9¢Hapana 91¢

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 31
Ndiyo 40¢Hapana 60¢
June 30
Ndiyo 25¢Hapana 75¢

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
Bahrain
Ndiyo 22¢Hapana 78¢
Qatar
Ndiyo 18¢Hapana 82¢

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Steve Witkoff
Ndiyo 88¢Hapana 12¢
Jared Kushner
Ndiyo 80¢Hapana 20¢

Will Trump visit Pakistan by...?
May 3114%
April 302%