🏳 Prediction Markets: Israel–Hamas
19 active marketsIsrael–Hamas war prediction markets — hostages, ceasefires and post-war Gaza
Middle East
Iran
Gaza
Israel
Hostages
Iran–Israel
Israel–Hezbollah
Israel–Lebanon
Israel–Hamas
Yemen
Nuclear Deal

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
May 15
ใช่ 49¢ไม่ใช่ 51¢
May 5
ใช่ 33¢ไม่ใช่ 67¢

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
June 30
ใช่ 44¢ไม่ใช่ 56¢
May 31
ใช่ 26¢ไม่ใช่ 74¢

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
June 30
ใช่ 56¢ไม่ใช่ 44¢
May 31
ใช่ 33¢ไม่ใช่ 67¢

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
June 30
ใช่ 15¢ไม่ใช่ 85¢
May 31
ใช่ 13¢ไม่ใช่ 87¢

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by...?
April 212%
April 2617%

Who will meet with Iran by April 30?
Steve Witkoff
ใช่ 16¢ไม่ใช่ 84¢
Jared Kushner
ใช่ 15¢ไม่ใช่ 85¢

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
May 31
ใช่ 52¢ไม่ใช่ 48¢
April 30
ใช่ 12¢ไม่ใช่ 88¢

Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting on...?
No Meeting before May 11
ใช่ 59¢ไม่ใช่ 41¢
April 29
ใช่ 7¢ไม่ใช่ 93¢

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
Pakistan
ใช่ 73¢ไม่ใช่ 27¢
No Meeting by June 30
ใช่ 19¢ไม่ใช่ 81¢

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?
Oil Sanction Reliefใช่ 7¢ไม่ใช่ 93¢
Unfreeze Iranian Assetsใช่ 4¢ไม่ใช่ 96¢

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 31
ใช่ 28¢ไม่ใช่ 72¢
May 31
ใช่ 9¢ไม่ใช่ 91¢

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 31
ใช่ 40¢ไม่ใช่ 60¢
June 30
ใช่ 25¢ไม่ใช่ 75¢

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
Bahrain
ใช่ 22¢ไม่ใช่ 78¢
Qatar
ใช่ 18¢ไม่ใช่ 82¢

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Steve Witkoff
ใช่ 88¢ไม่ใช่ 12¢
Jared Kushner
ใช่ 80¢ไม่ใช่ 20¢

Will Trump visit Pakistan by...?
May 3114%
April 302%