🏳 Prediction Markets: Israel–Hamas
19 active marketsIsrael–Hamas war prediction markets — hostages, ceasefires and post-war Gaza
Middle East
Iran
Gaza
Israel
Hostages
Iran–Israel
Israel–Hezbollah
Israel–Lebanon
Israel–Hamas
Yemen
Nuclear Deal

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
May 15
Oo 49¢Hindi 51¢
May 5
Oo 33¢Hindi 67¢

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
June 30
Oo 44¢Hindi 56¢
May 31
Oo 26¢Hindi 74¢

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
June 30
Oo 56¢Hindi 44¢
May 31
Oo 33¢Hindi 67¢

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
June 30
Oo 15¢Hindi 85¢
May 31
Oo 13¢Hindi 87¢

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by...?
April 212%
April 2617%

Who will meet with Iran by April 30?
Steve Witkoff
Oo 16¢Hindi 84¢
Jared Kushner
Oo 15¢Hindi 85¢

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
May 31
Oo 52¢Hindi 48¢
April 30
Oo 12¢Hindi 88¢

Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting on...?
No Meeting before May 11
Oo 59¢Hindi 41¢
April 29
Oo 7¢Hindi 93¢

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
Pakistan
Oo 73¢Hindi 27¢
No Meeting by June 30
Oo 19¢Hindi 81¢

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to in April?
Oil Sanction ReliefOo 7¢Hindi 93¢
Unfreeze Iranian AssetsOo 4¢Hindi 96¢

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 31
Oo 28¢Hindi 72¢
May 31
Oo 9¢Hindi 91¢

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
December 31
Oo 40¢Hindi 60¢
June 30
Oo 25¢Hindi 75¢

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?
Bahrain
Oo 22¢Hindi 78¢
Qatar
Oo 18¢Hindi 82¢

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Steve Witkoff
Oo 88¢Hindi 12¢
Jared Kushner
Oo 80¢Hindi 20¢

Will Trump visit Pakistan by...?
May 3114%
April 302%