Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun

**The Indiana Fever enter their June 13 Commissioner's Cup road matchup against the Connecticut Sun as heavy favorites, with traders assigning an 84% implied win probability that reflects the teams' sharply divergent 2026 records and roster situations.** The Fever sit at 6-5 and remain competitive in the Eastern Conference behind Caitlin Clark's playmaking and scoring alongside All-Star center Aliyah Boston, who have both cleared recent availability checks despite minor back and leg concerns. Indiana has shown resilience in close contests, including a game-winning shot against the Mystics. By contrast, the Sun hold a 2-11 or 2-12 mark, rank near the bottom of the league in offensive and defensive efficiency, and continue to deal with multiple day-to-day injuries (including guard Ashlon Jackson and forward Aneesah Morrow) plus earlier absences like Brittney Griner's rib issue. Connect