This market will resolve to "Yes" if X is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Export-control chip security
$349 Volume
34%
AI-chip export licensing
$167 Volume
33%
Critical-minerals stockpile
$281 Volume
20%
DEFIANCE Act
$128 Volume
15%
FISA Section 702 reauthorization
$102.3K Volume
12%
$2.50 Coin
$404 Volume
14%
SELF DRIVE Act
$349 Volume
11%
Film/TV production expensing
$2.3K Volume
13%
Data center utility cost protection
$112 Volume
6%
Credit-card routing competition
$163 Volume
13%
Smithsonian Women’s History Museum
$3.5K Volume
7%
SHOWER Act
$370 Volume
10%
Trump Airport
$1.7K Volume
7%
Resolved 1
Housing for the 21st Century Act
$46K Volume
Yes
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Which bills will become law in 2026?
The current front-runner is Export-control chip security at 33%, ahead of AI-chip export licensing at 28%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Which bills will become law in 2026?
Traders currently imply a 33% chance for Export-control chip security. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Which bills will become law in 2026 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (124 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Which bills will become law in 2026?
Total traded volume on this market is $158.1K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Which bills will become law in 2026 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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