Trump Vorhersagemärkte

Trump Vorhersagemärkte gehören zu den aktivsten bei Polymarket: Amtszeit, rechtliche Verfahren, Außenpolitik (Ukraine, China, Naher Osten), Innenpolitik und allgemeine Zustimmung. Die Volumina übersteigen Hunderte von Millionen Dollar.

Diese Märkte reagieren stark auf jede wichtige Aussage, über Truth Social, Interviews oder Ankündigungen des Weißen Hauses. Echtzeit-Nachrichtenberichterstattung schafft Handelsmöglichkeiten.

41 aktive Märkte
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Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
17%
Chance
Ja Nein
$9,8 Mio. Vol 01/01
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 22August 2299%JaNein
August 25August 2599%JaNein
$2,6 Mio. Vol 30/09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 3173%JaNein
October 3153%JaNein
$19,3 Mio. Vol 01/01
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
March 31, 202765%JaNein
December 31, 202652%JaNein
$106,3 Tsd. Vol 01/04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
17%
Chance
Ja Nein
$87,6 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Fällt das iranische Regime vor 2027? Fällt das iranische Regime vor 2027?
7%
Chance
Ja Nein
$83,7 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Russia nuclear test by...?Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 20266%JaNein
September 30, 2026September 30, 20261%JaNein
$6,2 Mio. Vol 01/01
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
September 3017%JaNein
September 159%JaNein
$671,2 Tsd. Vol 01/10
Trump out as President by August 31? Trump out as President by August 31?
1%
Chance
Ja Nein
$40,6 Tsd. Vol 31/08
Fed-Entscheidung im Oktober?Fed-Entscheidung im Oktober?
No change72%JaNein
25 bps increase25%JaNein
$1,6 Mio. Vol 28/10
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
July 314%
August 314%
$274,2 Tsd. Vol 01/09
Stimmt Iran bis 31 Dezember dem Stopp der Urananreicherung zu? Stimmt Iran bis 31 Dezember dem Stopp der Urananreicherung zu?
14%
Chance
Ja Nein
$22,1 Tsd. Vol 31/12
NATO x Russia military clash by...?NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 3125%JaNein
October 3115%JaNein
$5,9 Mio. Vol 01/01
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
No Meeting by September 3074%JaNein
Schweiz10%JaNein
$19 Tsd. Vol 30/09
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
September 3044%JaNein
August 3113%JaNein
$911,1 Tsd. Vol 01/10
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Mohammad Bagher GhalibafMohammad Bagher Ghalibaf42%JaNein
Jared KushnerJared Kushner39%JaNein
$17,8 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31No meeting by December 3151%JaNein
ChinaChina46%JaNein
$16,1 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?
Scott JenningsScott Jennings25%JaNein
Anna KellyAnna Kelly17%JaNein
$149,2 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Trump out as President before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027?
7%
Chance
Ja Nein
$40,6 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
AlibabaAlibaba22%JaNein
CATLCATL19%JaNein
$186,9 Tsd. Vol 30/06
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
August 2495%JaNein
August 2692%JaNein
$10 Tsd. Vol 01/09
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Mohammed bin SalmanMohammed bin Salman77%JaNein
Vladimir PutinVladimir Putin47%JaNein
$11,5 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
200+87%JaNein
180-19913%JaNein
$11,1 Tsd. Vol 2 Tage verbleibend
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4%
Chance
Ja Nein
$7,6 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro86%JaNein
Delcy Rodríguez10%JaNein
$95,8 Mio. Vol 31/12
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
87%
Chance
Ja Nein
$6,2 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?
December 3197%JaNein
October 3196%JaNein
$738,9 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?
30+7%JaNein
40+2%JaNein
$5,6 Tsd. Vol 31/08
Fed-Entscheidung im Dezember?Fed-Entscheidung im Dezember?
No change61%JaNein
25 bps increase29%JaNein
$1,6 Mio. Vol 09/12
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤4727%JaNein
4914%JaNein
$2,9 Mio. Vol 03/11
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
August 31, 20261%
December 31, 202610%
$4 Tsd. Vol 01/01
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
6%
Chance
Ja Nein
$260,1 Tsd. Vol 31/12
What will Trump say this week? (August 24 - August 30)What will Trump say this week? (August 24 - August 30)
God90%JaNein
Ballroom85%JaNein
$5,4 Tsd. Vol 7 Tage verbleibend
Fed-Entscheidung im Januar?Fed-Entscheidung im Januar?
No change61%JaNein
25 bps increase22%JaNein
$1,6 Mio. Vol 27/01
Who will be arrested before 2027?Who will be arrested before 2027?
Mahmoud Khalil29%JaNein
John Brennan18%JaNein
$389 Tsd. Vol
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?
1023%JaNein
1220%JaNein
$10,4 Tsd. Vol 03/11
What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?
Productivity77%JaNein
Good Morning76%JaNein
$45,5 Tsd. Vol 5 Tage verbleibend
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 316%JaNein
September 302%JaNein
$29,1 Mio. Vol 01/01
US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday? US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?
77%
Chance
Ja Nein
$4,8 Tsd. Vol Endet heute
What will Trump say in August?What will Trump say in August?
Green New Scam60%JaNein
Garbage54%JaNein
$2,7 Tsd. Vol 31/08
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
Illegal / Illegals70%JaNein
Iran 5+ times63%JaNein
$2,6 Tsd. Vol 31/08
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Welche Trump Märkte sind jetzt live?

Jährliche Zustimmung, spezifische politische Ergebnisse, rechtliche Verfahren, Ergebnisse internationaler Verhandlungen und Entscheidungen über hochrangige Ernennungen.

Was bewegt die Preise?

Trump-Aussagen (insbesondere Truth Social), offizielle Ankündigungen des Weißen Hauses, Gerichtsurteile und Maßnahmen des Kongresses. Reaktionen sind sehr schnell.

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